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Last: vs Orlando Magic · Tipped off 7:30 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Walter's profile stands out most on true shooting (80th percentile) and rebound chances per game (45th percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Ja'Kobe Walter over 1.5 steals
Walter is averaging 2.0 STL this season (4 games — small sample) and the hit-rate record supports the over: L10 over 1.5 steals in 7/10 games, L20 in 11/20. ORL ranks #29 in offensive rating (104.4) and generates turnovers via sloppy ball handling. Walter's 26.5 MPG gives him enough exposure, and vsORL in 4 games he played extended minutes. At -105 the price is essentially even money on a 7/10 L10 rate.
Recorded line 10.5 · Points · as of Oct 28
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-28
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 10.5
home, away, 2+ days rest, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
41% of his shots come from threes above the break, where he makes 53%, 19.1 percentage points above the league rate there (15 attempts so far).
Where he shoots from, against the league
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to guards.
Who guards him
Last season (2025-26): no defender on this roster has guarded him for 5+ partial possessions this season yet. Desmond Bane has guarded him most: 38.0 partial possessions, 3 points on 1 of 2.
2025-26 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
Orlando Magic: the 22nd-best defense at an average pace; generous against guards on points.
Allowed-to-guards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 343 guard-games against ORL · team ratings over 4 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
4 meetings on record: 12.0 points, 5.3 rebounds, 0.8 assists per game (last on Oct 28). The vs ORL window above shows each game.
ORL injury report · Oct 30
Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.
On and off
The team is 0.9 points per 100 possessions worse with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
Points per 100 possessions · 3 games · as of Oct 26.
With and without teammates
Fewer than 5 games with TOR this season, so last season (2025-26) is used.
Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-26.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.