Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Tyler Herro
Last: vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Tipped off 8:00 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageHerro's profile stands out most on usage rate (91st percentile) and potential assists per game (87th percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
No active pick on Tyler Herro.
Our graded record on him: 1-1-0 · see every pick below.
Points against the line
Hypothetical threshold · no verified market line: 23.5
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-28
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the season median 23.5
home, away, back-to-back, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
38% of his shots come from threes above the break, where he makes 46%, 11.2 percentage points above the league rate there.
- Restricted area58%▼ 7.8 vs league28% of attempts · 24 FGA
- Three-pointers47%▲ 13.0 vs league42% of attempts · 36 FGA
- Mid-range33%▼ 6.7 vs league11% of attempts · 9 FGA · small sample
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area28% / 29%14 of 24 · 58% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)20% / 19%9 of 17 · 53% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range11% / 10%3 of 9 · 33% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 32% / 6%2 of 2 · 100% FG against 34% for the league
- Right corner 31% / 5%0 of 1 · 0% FG against 34% for the league
- Above-the-break 338% / 31%15 of 33 · 46% FG against 34% for the league
Distance buckets and the period split are not available: this player's shots for this season are not in our shot chart yet.
Matchup: vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to guards.
Who guards him
Last season (2025-26): no defender on this roster has guarded him for 5+ partial possessions this season yet. Sam Merrill has guarded him most: 39.2 partial possessions, 4 points on 1 of 5.
2025-26 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
Cleveland Cavaliers: the 18th-best defense at an average pace; about average against guards on points.
Allowed-to-guards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 328 guard-games against CLE · team ratings over 5 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
2 meetings on record: 14.5 points, 2.5 rebounds, 4.5 assists per game (last on Mar 27). The vs CLE window above shows each game.
CLE injury report · Oct 30
- Meleek Thomas · Day-to-day
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.
On and off
The team is 2.8 points per 100 possessions better with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 3 games · as of Oct 26.
With and without teammates
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.small sample without
- Kyle Kuzmasmall sample without
- Myles Turnersmall sample without
Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-26.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
