Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Julius Randle
Last: vs Detroit Pistons · Tipped off 7:30 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageRandle's profile stands out most on potential assists per game (93rd percentile) and rebound chances per game (91st percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
Julius Randle over 5.5 rebounds
Read our reasoning
L10 over 9/10 (avg 7.6, range 5-10), L20 over 17/20 — one of the cleanest rebounding hit rates in the data. Season avg 7.5 RPG with OREB% 45.5% and DREB% 52.1%. 2.8 offensive rebound chances per game. vs DET last season (2g): 7.0 RPG. Line of 5.5 is well below his floor; median is 7. BKN's slower pace vs DET (#30) means fewer runouts and more contested boards around the paint where Randle dominates. Note: 4-game current-season sample but L20 rate is overwhelming.
Points against the line
Recorded line 18.5 · Points · as of Oct 27
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-27
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 18.5
home, away, back-to-back, 2+ days rest and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
36% of his shots come from the paint outside the restricted area, where he makes 50%, 5.6 percentage points above the league rate there.
- Restricted area57%▼ 9.0 vs league23% of attempts · 14 FGA · small sample
- Three-pointers28%▼ 6.5 vs league29% of attempts · 18 FGA · small sample
- Mid-range75%▲ 35.0 vs league13% of attempts · 8 FGA · small sample
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area23% / 29%8 of 14 · 57% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)36% / 19%11 of 22 · 50% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range13% / 10%6 of 8 · 75% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 33% / 6%1 of 2 · 50% FG against 34% for the league
- Right corner 32% / 5%0 of 1 · 0% FG against 34% for the league
- Above-the-break 324% / 31%4 of 15 · 27% FG against 34% for the league
Matchup: vs Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to forwards.
Who guards him
Last season (2025-26): no defender on this roster has guarded him for 5+ partial possessions this season yet. John Collins has guarded him most: 38.7 partial possessions, 5 points on 2 of 4.
2025-26 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
Detroit Pistons: the 5th-best defense at a slow pace; about average against forwards on points.
Allowed-to-forwards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 238 forward-games against DET · team ratings over 5 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
2 meetings on record: 19.0 points, 7.0 rebounds, 5.0 assists per game (last on Apr 2). The vs DET window above shows each game.
DET injury report · Oct 30
- Jalen Duren · Out
- Isaiah Joe · Day-to-day
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor.
On and off
The team is 23.1 points per 100 possessions better with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 3 games · as of Oct 26.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-26.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
