Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Marvin Bagley III
Last: @ Phoenix Suns · Tipped off 10:00 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageIII's profile stands out most on true shooting (74th percentile) and usage rate (52nd percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
No picks recorded on Marvin Bagley III yet.
Points against the line
Hypothetical threshold · no verified market line: 6.5
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-28
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the season median 6.5
home, away, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
43% of his shots come from the restricted area, where he makes 67%, close to the league rate there (6 attempts so far).
- Restricted area67%level with league43% of attempts · 6 FGA · small sample
- Three-pointers0%▼ 34.3 vs league7% of attempts · 1 FGA · small sample
- Mid-range50%▲ 10.0 vs league14% of attempts · 2 FGA · small sample
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area43% / 29%4 of 6 · 67% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)36% / 19%3 of 5 · 60% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range14% / 10%1 of 2 · 50% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 37% / 6%0 of 1 · 0% FG against 34% for the league
- Right corner 30% / 5%No attempts · league 34% FG
- Above-the-break 30% / 31%No attempts · league 34% FG
Distance buckets and the period split are not available: this player's shots for this season are not in our shot chart yet.
Matchup: @ Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to forwards.
Who guards him
Last season (2025-26): no defender on this roster has guarded him for 5+ partial possessions this season yet. Oso Ighodaro has guarded him most: 48.4 partial possessions, 8 points on 4 of 6.
- Mark WilliamsC
2025-26 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
Phoenix Suns: the 30th-best defense at a slow pace; about average against forwards on points.
Allowed-to-forwards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 238 forward-games against PHX · team ratings over 3 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
4 meetings on record: 10.5 points, 6.5 rebounds, 1.5 assists per game (last on Apr 8). The vs PHX window above shows each game.
PHX injury report · Oct 30
- Oso Ighodaro · Day-to-day
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor.
On and off
The team is 1.1 points per 100 possessions worse with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 2 games · as of Oct 26.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-26.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
