Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Trae Young
Last: vs Charlotte Hornets · Tipped off 7:00 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageYoung's profile stands out most on potential assists per game (100th percentile) and usage rate (82nd percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
Trae Young under 11.5 assists
Read our reasoning
Young's APG is 10.4 this season (5-game sample) with a season median of 8.5 and L10 avg 8.3 (range 5-13). Only 2/10 reached 11.5+ in L10, only 4/20 in L20. AST% of 40.3% and 17.0 drives/game confirm elite playmaking, but 11.5 is a ceiling number he rarely touches. vs CHA in 2 games this season: 10.0 APG — solidly under 11.5. The under 220.5 total lean (low confidence) supports a controlled-pace game that doesn't generate extra possessions for inflated assist totals. 8/10 L10 under rate supports confidence despite -370 juice.
Points against the line
Recorded line 14.5 · Points · as of Oct 28
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-28
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 14.5
home, away, back-to-back, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
45% of his shots come from threes above the break, where he makes 24%, 10.0 percentage points below the league rate there.
- Restricted area57%▼ 9.0 vs league10% of attempts · 7 FGA · small sample
- Three-pointers27%▼ 7.2 vs league51% of attempts · 37 FGA
- Mid-range22%▼ 17.8 vs league12% of attempts · 9 FGA · small sample
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area10% / 29%4 of 7 · 57% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)27% / 19%12 of 20 · 60% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range12% / 10%2 of 9 · 22% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 31% / 6%0 of 1 · 0% FG against 34% for the league
- Right corner 34% / 5%2 of 3 · 67% FG against 34% for the league
- Above-the-break 345% / 31%8 of 33 · 24% FG against 34% for the league
Distance buckets and the period split are not available: this player's shots for this season are not in our shot chart yet.
Matchup: vs Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to guards.
Who guards him
Last season (2025-26): no defender on this roster has guarded him for 5+ partial possessions this season yet. Coby White has guarded him most: 24.4 partial possessions, 8 points on 1 of 1.
2025-26 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
Charlotte Hornets: the 11th-best defense at a slow pace; about average against guards on points.
Allowed-to-guards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 336 guard-games against CHA · team ratings over 5 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
2 meetings on record: 15.0 points, 3.5 rebounds, 10.0 assists per game (last on Oct 26). The vs CHA window above shows each game.
CHA injury report · Oct 30
- Kon Knueppel · Out
- Coby White · Out
- Grant Williams · Out
- Kylan Boswell · Out
- Dennis Schröder · Day-to-day
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.
On and off
The team is 19.2 points per 100 possessions worse with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 3 games · as of Oct 26.
With and without teammates
- Anthony Davissmall sample without
- Kyshawn Georgesmall sample without
- Bilal Coulibalysmall sample without
Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-26.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
