Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Anthony Davis
Last: vs Charlotte Hornets · Tipped off 7:00 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageDavis's profile stands out most on rebound chances per game (95th percentile) and usage rate (94th percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
Anthony Davis under 24.5 points
Read our reasoning
Davis is averaging 21.8 PPG this season (5-game sample) with a season median of 20 and L10 avg of 19.1 (range 3-34). Only 3/10 over 24.5 in L10, 7/20 in L20. USG% is 28.8% and drives are low at 4.6/game with just 35.0% drive FG%. The lone vsCHA game (1 game, n=1) showing 29 pts is too small a sample to project as a trend — the median and L10/L20 averages both sit well below 24.5. CHA's defensive rating is #11 (109.7 DRTG), providing some resistance to a blowout scoring night. -278 juice implies 73.5% and the L10 under rate of 7/10 (70%) is consistent.
Points against the line
Recorded line 19.5 · Points · as of Oct 28
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-28
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 19.5
home, away, back-to-back, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
37% of his shots come from the restricted area, where he makes 71%, 4.4 percentage points above the league rate there.
- Restricted area71%▲ 4.4 vs league37% of attempts · 34 FGA
- Three-pointers35%level with league18% of attempts · 17 FGA · small sample
- Mid-range18%▼ 22.4 vs league18% of attempts · 17 FGA · small sample
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area37% / 29%24 of 34 · 71% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)27% / 19%8 of 25 · 32% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range18% / 10%3 of 17 · 18% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 31% / 6%0 of 1 · 0% FG against 34% for the league
- Right corner 31% / 5%0 of 1 · 0% FG against 34% for the league
- Above-the-break 316% / 31%6 of 15 · 40% FG against 34% for the league
Distance buckets and the period split are not available: this player's shots for this season are not in our shot chart yet.
Matchup: vs Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to forwards.
Who guards him
No Charlotte Hornets defender on the current roster has guarded him for 5+ partial possessions this season or last.
Team defense
Charlotte Hornets: the 11th-best defense at a slow pace; about average against forwards on points.
Allowed-to-forwards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 254 forward-games against CHA · team ratings over 5 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
1 meeting on record: 29.0 points, 10.0 rebounds, 0.0 assists per game (last on Oct 26). The vs CHA window above shows each game.
CHA injury report · Oct 30
- Kon Knueppel · Out
- Coby White · Out
- Grant Williams · Out
- Kylan Boswell · Out
- Dennis Schröder · Day-to-day
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.
On and off
The team is 22.1 points per 100 possessions worse with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 3 games · as of Oct 26.
With and without teammates
- Trae Youngsmall sample without
- Kyshawn Georgesmall sample without
- Bilal Coulibalysmall sample without
Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-26.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
