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Jaden McDaniels

Forward · Minnesota Timberwolves · #3

Last: vs LA Clippers · Tipped off 8:00 PM ET · this page updates each morning

NBA / F
Points per game15.85 games
Rebounds per game6.65 games
Assists per game3.05 games
Threes per game1.45 games
Minutes per game32.35 games
2026-27 season

Points by game

Season average15.8
5 games · 5 with data
17
15
14
14
19
MIAOct 21
ORLOct 23
TOROct 25
CLEOct 26
GSOct 28
Box score per game · game log through 2026-10-28.

The Edge

Role and usage

McDaniels's profile stands out most on rebound chances per game (77th percentile) and true shooting (69th percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.

Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.

Minutes per game32.3 min
84th percentile of 292 players
Usage rate17.4%
50th percentile of 292 players
True shooting61.5%
69th percentile of 292 players
Touches per game42.6
65th percentile of 307 players
Drives per game8.2
69th percentile of 307 players
Rebound chances per game11.2
77th percentile of 307 players
Catch-and-shoot attempts per game2.6
49th percentile of 292 players
Potential assists per game4.0
53rd percentile of 307 players
Clutch scoring0.0 pts
3.7 clutch minutes per game · 2 games
First basket rate40.0%
Share of 5 starts with the team's first basket
Percentiles are among 292 players with 3+ games and 10+ minutes per game; tracking metrics are ranked among the players tracked for them, a smaller group, and show no percentile until at least 50 players qualify. Clutch: Last five minutes of a game with the score within five points; per-game averages.
OddsIndex analysis

Our pick

Current pick context · independent of season selection
Our pickawaiting result

Jaden McDaniels over 4.5 rebounds

picked Oct 30line 4.5-263 at pick
Read our reasoning

Season avg 6.6 RPG (5 games, small sample). Historical L10: avg 5.6 (range 1-8), 8/10 over 4.5; L20: 14/20 — 80% L10 hit rate. OREB% 38.9%, 8.2 drives/g, and 68.2% driveFG% indicate active interior presence. MIN projected to win comfortably, preserving his full rotation minutes. Risk: vs LAC last season (4g) he averaged only 3.0 rebounds — a matchup-specific concern that prevents HIGH confidence. Market at -263 (72.5% implied) is supported by the longer-run rate; the LAC history is the caution flag.

Betting context · 2026-27

Points against the line

OverUnder

Recorded line 14.5 · Points · as of Oct 28

14.5
17
15
14
14
19
LAC
MIAOct 21
ORLOct 23
TOROct 25
CLEOct 26
GSOct 28
LACnext
Over 3 of 5 · 60%Under 2 of 52026-27 season vs current line 14.5 · historical frequency, not a forecast
14.5

2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-28

Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 14.5

home, away, back-to-back, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.

This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.

Shot profile · 2026-27 · 62 FGA

Where he scores

34% of his shots come from the paint outside the restricted area, where he makes 62%, 17.5 percentage points above the league rate there.

  • Restricted area71%▲ 5.3 vs league23% of attempts · 14 FGA · small sample
  • Three-pointers32%level with league36% of attempts · 22 FGA
  • Mid-range80%▲ 40.0 vs league8% of attempts · 5 FGA · small sample
11%0% FG10%50% FG14%44% FG8%80% FG34%62% FG23%71% FG
  • Share of attempts
  • FG% above league
  • below
  • under 20 attempts

Where he shoots from, against the league

  • Restricted area23% / 29%10 of 14 · 71% FG against 66% for the league
  • Paint (non-restricted)34% / 19%13 of 21 · 62% FG against 44% for the league
  • Mid-range8% / 10%4 of 5 · 80% FG against 40% for the league
  • Left corner 310% / 6%3 of 6 · 50% FG against 34% for the league
  • Right corner 314% / 5%4 of 9 · 44% FG against 34% for the league
  • Above-the-break 311% / 31%0 of 7 · 0% FG against 34% for the league
Season to date from the daily league shot-location snapshot dated 2026-10-30; the league figure is every player in that snapshot added together.
Next game · Tipped off 8:00 PM ET · this page updates each morning

Matchup: vs LA Clippers

LA Clippers defense

Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to forwards.

Who guards him

Last season (2025-26): no defender on this roster has guarded him for 5+ partial possessions this season yet. Brandon Ingram has guarded him most: 70.3 partial possessions, 9 points on 4 of 7.

2025-26 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.

Team defense

LA Clippers: the 6th-best defense at an average pace; stingy against forwards on points.

Defensive rating106.1
6th-best defense · middling
Pace101.6 poss
average tempo · possessions per 48 minutes
Offensive rating104.9
28th-best offense · points per 100 possessions
Points allowed to forwards12.2 per game
stingy · per game vs forwards
Rebounds allowed to forwards4.9 per game
average · per game vs forwards
Assists allowed to forwards2.4 per game
average · per game vs forwards
Threes allowed to forwards1.3 per game
stingy · per game vs forwards
PRA allowed to forwards19.5 per game
average · per game vs forwards

Allowed-to-forwards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 253 forward-games against LAC · team ratings over 4 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.

4 meetings on record: 13.0 points, 3.0 rebounds, 1.8 assists per game (last on Mar 11). The vs LAC window above shows each game.

LAC injury report · Oct 30

Lineup context

Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.

On and off

The team is 37.1 points per 100 possessions better with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).

  • Net rating
    On · 90 min+36.4
    Off · 54 min-0.7
Offensive and defensive rating
  • Offensive rating
    On · 90 min130.7
    Off · 54 min93.3
  • Defensive rating (lower is better)
    On · 90 min94.3
    Off · 54 min94.0

Points per 100 possessions · 3 games · as of Oct 26.

With and without teammates

  • Jonathan Kumingasmall sample without
    With15.8 · 5 games
    Without— · 0 games
  • Rudy Gobertsmall sample without
    With15.8 · 5 games
    Without— · 0 games
  • Ayo Dosunmusmall sample without
    With15.8 · 5 games
    Without— · 0 games

Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.

Detailed records · both seasons on record

Game log & career

Data availability

Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.

Clutch

Available

Observations through 2026-10-29.

Who guards him

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.

First basket

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.

Game log

Available

Observations through 2026-10-28.

Hit rates by window

Available

Observations through 2026-10-28.

Hustle

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.

Lineup splits

Available

Observations through 2026-10-28.

Matchup

Available

Observations through 2026-10-28.

Next game

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.

On and off

Available

Observations through 2026-10-26.

Picks

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.

Prop hit rates

Available

Observations through 2026-10-28.

Recent form

Available

Observations through 2026-10-28.

Role and usage

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.

Season averages

Available

Observations through 2026-10-28.

Shot profile

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.

Shot quality

Available

Observations through 2026-10-30.