Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Karl-Anthony Towns
Last: @ Philadelphia 76ers · Tipped off 7:30 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageTowns's profile stands out most on rebound chances per game (99th percentile) and usage rate (89th percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
Karl-Anthony Towns over 11.5 rebounds
Read our reasoning
Towns is averaging 13.8 RPG through 5 early-season games (small sample) with an elite 66.7% OREB% and 63.5% DREB%. Season median is 12 rebounds — above the 11.5 line. L10: over 11.5 in 6/10 games (avg 12.2). L20: 11/20. The risk factor is his last-season vs PHI average of 9.6 rebounds across 9 games, which falls below the line and suggests Embiid's interior presence historically suppresses his rebounding. With Embiid potentially limited or at reduced effectiveness due to injury, Towns may rebound more freely than historical matchup rates suggest.
Points against the line
Recorded line 19.5 · Points · as of Oct 28
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-28
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 19.5
home, away, back-to-back, 2+ days rest, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
53% of his shots come from the restricted area, where he makes 71%, 4.9 percentage points above the league rate there.
- Restricted area71%▲ 4.9 vs league53% of attempts · 38 FGA
- Three-pointers41%▲ 6.7 vs league31% of attempts · 22 FGA
- Mid-range40%level with league7% of attempts · 5 FGA · small sample
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area53% / 29%27 of 38 · 71% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)10% / 19%4 of 7 · 57% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range7% / 10%2 of 5 · 40% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 31% / 6%0 of 1 · 0% FG against 34% for the league
- Right corner 30% / 5%No attempts · league 34% FG
- Above-the-break 329% / 31%9 of 21 · 43% FG against 34% for the league
Matchup: @ Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to centers.
Who guards him
Joel Embiid has guarded him most: 16.4 partial possessions, 4 points on 1 of 1.
2026-27 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
Philadelphia 76ers: the 3rd-best defense at an average pace; about average against centers on points.
Allowed-to-centers figures use 2025-26 (last season), 110 center-games against PHI · team ratings over 5 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
9 meetings on record: 17.4 points, 9.6 rebounds, 4.4 assists per game (last on Oct 20). The vs PHI window above shows each game.
PHI injury report · Oct 30
- Dominick Barlow · Out
- Jabari Walker · Out
- Tacko Fall · Out
- Jaylen Brown · Day-to-day
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.
On and off
The team is 18.9 points per 100 possessions better with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 3 games · as of Oct 26.
With and without teammates
- Jalen Brunsonsmall sample without
- OG Anunobysmall sample without
- Josh Hartsmall sample without
Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-26.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
