Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Jalen Brunson
Last: @ Philadelphia 76ers · Tipped off 7:30 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageBrunson's profile stands out most on usage rate (97th percentile) and potential assists per game (96th percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
Jalen Brunson over 24.5 points
Read our reasoning
Brunson averages 25.8 PPG with 31.4% USG and 22.6 drives/g — the primary scoring engine on this slate. Season median is 29 points, well above 24.5. L10: over 24.5 in 6/10 games (avg 29.2, range 19-45). L20: 12/20. Note: only 5 season games played so sample is small, but the last-10 average of 29.2 points consistently outpaces this line. PHI's elite defense (#3 DRTG, 103.3) is a real headwind, but Brunson generates volume through drives and isolation regardless of defensive quality.
Points against the line
Recorded line 29.5 · Points · as of Oct 28
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-28
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 29.5
home, away, back-to-back, 2+ days rest, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
26% of his shots come from the paint outside the restricted area, where he makes 25%, 19.4 percentage points below the league rate there.
- Restricted area57%▼ 9.6 vs league22% of attempts · 23 FGA
- Three-pointers33%level with league28% of attempts · 30 FGA
- Mid-range50%▲ 10.0 vs league24% of attempts · 26 FGA
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area22% / 29%13 of 23 · 56% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)26% / 19%7 of 28 · 25% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range24% / 10%13 of 26 · 50% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 31% / 6%0 of 1 · 0% FG against 34% for the league
- Right corner 32% / 5%0 of 2 · 0% FG against 34% for the league
- Above-the-break 325% / 31%10 of 27 · 37% FG against 34% for the league
Matchup: @ Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to guards.
Who guards him
VJ Edgecombe has guarded him most: 33.6 partial possessions, 8 points on 3 of 7.
2026-27 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
Philadelphia 76ers: the 3rd-best defense at an average pace; about average against guards on points.
Allowed-to-guards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 347 guard-games against PHI · team ratings over 5 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
9 meetings on record: 25.4 points, 3.9 rebounds, 5.6 assists per game (last on Oct 20). The vs PHI window above shows each game.
PHI injury report · Oct 30
- Dominick Barlow · Out
- Jabari Walker · Out
- Tacko Fall · Out
- Jaylen Brown · Day-to-day
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.
On and off
The team is 8.3 points per 100 possessions better with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 3 games · as of Oct 26.
With and without teammates
- OG Anunobysmall sample without
- Josh Hartsmall sample without
- Karl-Anthony Townssmall sample without
Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-28.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-28.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-28.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-28.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-26.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-28.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-28.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-28.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
