Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Paul George
Last: vs Chicago Bulls · Tipped off 7:30 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageGeorge's profile stands out most on usage rate (91st percentile) and potential assists per game (73rd percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
Paul George under 19.5 points
Read our reasoning
Historical data strongly favors the Under: L10 only 3/10 over 19.5 (30% hit rate), L20 only 4/20 (20%), season median 16. Current-season 22.3 PPG is a 4-game small sample and should not be treated as a settled baseline. vsCHI this season: 19.7 PPG across 3 games, barely clearing the line. Under 235.5 total (even at LOW confidence) suppresses team scoring ceiling, and BOS -14.5 blowout scenario risks reduced 4th-quarter minutes for BOS stars.
Points against the line
Recorded line 19.5 · Points · as of Oct 27
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-27
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 19.5
home, away, back-to-back, 2+ days rest, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
35% of his shots come from threes above the break, where he makes 39%, 4.9 percentage points above the league rate there.
- Restricted area56%▼ 9.9 vs league24% of attempts · 16 FGA · small sample
- Three-pointers44%▲ 9.5 vs league48% of attempts · 32 FGA
- Mid-range36%▼ 3.7 vs league17% of attempts · 11 FGA · small sample
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area24% / 29%9 of 16 · 56% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)11% / 19%4 of 7 · 57% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range17% / 10%4 of 11 · 36% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 35% / 6%2 of 3 · 67% FG against 34% for the league
- Right corner 39% / 5%3 of 6 · 50% FG against 34% for the league
- Above-the-break 335% / 31%9 of 23 · 39% FG against 34% for the league
Distance buckets and the period split are not available: this player's shots for this season are not in our shot chart yet.
Matchup: vs Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to forwards.
Who guards him
Last season (2025-26): no defender on this roster has guarded him for 5+ partial possessions this season yet. Matas Buzelis has guarded him most: 24.7 partial possessions, 3 points on 1 of 5.
2025-26 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
Chicago Bulls: the 29th-best defense at a fast pace; generous against forwards on points.
Allowed-to-forwards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 239 forward-games against CHI · team ratings over 5 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
3 meetings on record: 19.7 points, 7.3 rebounds, 3.7 assists per game (last on Oct 26). The vs CHI window above shows each game.
CHI injury report · Oct 30
- Patrick Williams · Out
- Nic Claxton · Out
- Jalen Smith · Day-to-day
- Tobe Awaka · Day-to-day
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor.
On and off
The team is 23.1 points per 100 possessions better with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 2 games · as of Oct 26.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-26.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-27.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
