Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Bam Adebayo
Last: vs Indiana Pacers · Tipped off 8:00 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageAdebayo's profile stands out most on rebound chances per game (82nd percentile) and potential assists per game (71st percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
Bam Adebayo over 1.5 steals
Read our reasoning
Adebayo is averaging 2.2 STL/game this season (5-game sample), well above the 1.5 line. L10 Over rate is 5/10, L20 is 9/20. At +112 this is a plus-odds bet on a player whose season average clears the line by 0.7. IND operates at pace rank #9 (103.3), generating live-ball opportunities in passing lanes where Adebayo is most active. Steals are inherently volatile game-to-game, which caps confidence to MEDIUM, but the price and rate make this the best value prop on the slate.
Points against the line
Recorded line 18.5 · Points · as of Oct 28
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-28
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 18.5
home, away, back-to-back, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
31% of his shots come from the restricted area, where he makes 58%, 8.3 percentage points below the league rate there (19 attempts so far).
- Restricted area58%▼ 8.3 vs league31% of attempts · 19 FGA · small sample
- Three-pointers16%▼ 18.5 vs league31% of attempts · 19 FGA · small sample
- Mid-range11%▼ 28.9 vs league15% of attempts · 9 FGA · small sample
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area31% / 29%11 of 19 · 58% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)23% / 19%11 of 14 · 79% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range15% / 10%1 of 9 · 11% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 35% / 6%0 of 3 · 0% FG against 34% for the league
- Right corner 37% / 5%0 of 4 · 0% FG against 34% for the league
- Above-the-break 320% / 31%3 of 12 · 25% FG against 34% for the league
Distance buckets and the period split are not available: this player's shots for this season are not in our shot chart yet.
Matchup: vs Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to centers.
Who guards him
Last season (2025-26): no defender on this roster has guarded him for 5+ partial possessions this season yet. Ivica Zubac has guarded him most: 70.3 partial possessions, 35 points on 13 of 22.
2025-26 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
Indiana Pacers: the 12th-best defense at an average pace; about average against centers on points.
Allowed-to-centers figures use 2025-26 (last season), 104 center-games against IND · team ratings over 5 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
2 meetings on record: 14.0 points, 10.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists per game (last on Mar 29). The vs IND window above shows each game.
IND injury report · Oct 30
- Ivica Zubac · Out
- T.J. McConnell · Out
- Ben Sheppard · Out
- Tyrese Haliburton · Out
- Andrew Nembhard · Day-to-day
- Aaron Nesmith · Day-to-day
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.
On and off
The team is 16.8 points per 100 possessions worse with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 3 games · as of Oct 26.
With and without teammates
- Davion Mitchellsmall sample without
- Giannis Antetokounmposmall sample without
- Pelle Larssonsmall sample without
Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-26.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
