Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NBA game
Davion Mitchell
Last: vs Indiana Pacers · Tipped off 8:00 PM ET · this page updates each morning
Points by game
The Edge
Role and usageMitchell's profile stands out most on potential assists per game (97th percentile) and true shooting (64th percentile). Latest snapshot 2026-10-30.
Early sample: percentiles among players with 2+ games.
Our pick
Davion Mitchell under 21.5 points assists rebounds
Read our reasoning
Mitchell is averaging 24.8 combined PRA this season (5-game sample: 16.4p/0.8r/7.6a), but last season vs IND across 3 games he produced only 4.3p/2.3r/4.7a = 11.3 PRA — a severe underperformance against this specific matchup. The current-season numbers are a micro-sample and cannot override a 3-game IND-specific pattern from last season. The Under game total further constrains pace and possessions. Mitchell's 0.8 RPG floor provides almost no rebound cushion. Under 21.5 at -119 accounts for the matchup risk.
Points against the line
Recorded line 11.5 · Points · as of Oct 28
2026-27 season · all games played, playoffs included · game log · through 2026-10-28
Hit rate by situation · 2026-27 · against the recorded line 11.5
home, away, back-to-back, in wins and in losses splits have fewer than 10 games this season and are not shown yet.
This season's games only · historical frequency, not a forecast.
Where he scores
36% of his shots come from the restricted area, where he makes 68%, close to the league rate there.
- Restricted area68%level with league36% of attempts · 22 FGA
- Three-pointers39%▲ 4.9 vs league37% of attempts · 23 FGA
- Mid-range67%▲ 26.6 vs league5% of attempts · 3 FGA · small sample
- Share of attempts
- FG% above league
- below
- under 20 attempts
Where he shoots from, against the league
- Restricted area36% / 29%15 of 22 · 68% FG against 66% for the league
- Paint (non-restricted)23% / 19%6 of 14 · 43% FG against 44% for the league
- Mid-range5% / 10%2 of 3 · 67% FG against 40% for the league
- Left corner 33% / 6%1 of 2 · 50% FG against 34% for the league
- Right corner 33% / 5%1 of 2 · 50% FG against 34% for the league
- Above-the-break 331% / 31%7 of 19 · 37% FG against 34% for the league
Distance buckets and the period split are not available: this player's shots for this season are not in our shot chart yet.
Matchup: vs Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers defense
Who guards him, then team ratings and what they allow to guards.
Who guards him
Last season (2025-26): no defender on this roster has guarded him for 5+ partial possessions this season yet. Quenton Jackson has guarded him most: 47.3 partial possessions, 5 points on 2 of 3.
- T.J. McConnellG
2025-26 matchups · roster as of Oct 30 · defender ratings as of Oct 30. Tough, average or soft is the defender's own FG% allowed against the league (top, middle or bottom third), shown only for defenders in the league ranking.
Team defense
Indiana Pacers: the 12th-best defense at an average pace; about average against guards on points.
Allowed-to-guards figures use 2025-26 (last season), 345 guard-games against IND · team ratings over 5 games, snapshot 2026-10-30.
3 meetings on record: 4.3 points, 2.3 rebounds, 4.7 assists per game (last on Mar 29). The vs IND window above shows each game.
IND injury report · Oct 30
- Ivica Zubac · Out
- T.J. McConnell · Out
- Ben Sheppard · Out
- Tyrese Haliburton · Out
- Andrew Nembhard · Day-to-day
- Aaron Nesmith · Day-to-day
Lineup context
Team ratings with him on and off the floor, then points per game with and without his top teammates by minutes.
On and off
The team is 19.3 points per 100 possessions worse with him on the floor (small sample: under 100 minutes on one side).
- Net rating
Offensive and defensive rating
- Offensive rating
- Defensive rating (lower is better)
Points per 100 possessions · 3 games · as of Oct 26.
With and without teammates
- Giannis Antetokounmposmall sample without
- Bam Adebayosmall sample without
- Pelle Larssonsmall sample without
Teammate availability from the injury report as of Oct 30.
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-26.
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Observations through 2026-10-28.
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Observations through 2026-10-30.
